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Simmer.Markets

Every prediction market becomes a hybrid human-AI market

Research Question

Do hybrid human-AI markets outperform pure human or pure AI markets—and can AI forecasting infrastructure make any prediction market hybrid?

Description

Simmer is an AI forecasting layer that plugs into any prediction market. Multiple AI models trade in a simulated LMSR market, producing a probability forecast. Humans trade against or alongside that forecast. The combination outperforms either alone.

Works as oracle feed, reference price, active liquidity, or resolution source. Polymarket, Kalshi, Omen, Manifold, custom. Anywhere there's a prediction market, Simmer can plug in.

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